USA politics

The world will be healing its wounds—both psychological and actual—for a long time following the decisions of the Trump administration. We are witnessing another episode of the United States' political battle against the rest of the globe. This time, the USA has halted immigration processes in 75 countries. De facto, borders have been closed to almost half the world.

Interestingly, this "closed list" also includes allied countries and major markets for economic cooperation. After Venezuela, Greenland, trade wars, and speculation about the future of NATO, we have a new enemy of the USA—the immigrant.

This is ironic considering that the only indigenous inhabitants of America are Native Americans. Everyone who speaks negatively about migration today is either a descendant of immigrants or has an immigrant husband or wife. Fear-mongering about the "outsider" has become a global trend—unfortunately, a trend that is spilling over across the entire West.

Demographics will deal with this trend brutally, but effectively—in a 30–50 year perspective. When pension systems start to collapse and there aren't enough people to pay for the next generations, it will turn out that the economy—as always—abhors a vacuum.

Besides, this is clearly visible in the USA, which for decades has brilliantly leveraged immigration for its own needs. Where did AI talent come from? Who created the largest American companies? Musk, Brin, Trump’s wife, Vance’s wife—immigrants. Without immigrants, America would not be what it is today.

I am watching what Trump is doing with great interest, but I am even more curious about what next year's midterms in the USA will look like. I have a feeling that despite the apparent applause in November, the administration might take a solid beating for the political and geopolitical rollercoaster it is serving the world—and Americans themselves.

Ultimately, everything will boil down to the economy anyway. Americans are pragmatists.